The new poll’s telling numbers show that 31 percent of respondents polled after the federal budget release said they would vote for current Prime Minister Justin Trudeau if an election were held today. This number is a decrease of about three percent from the previous poll conducted in February.
The drop has been attributed to a number of factors, with the main focus being the SNC-Lavalin affair, which has caused a media circus across Canada for the last couple of months. This has put Trudeau in a negative light in a way that he had mostly avoided for the majority of his time in office thus far.
37 percent of those polled said that they would support the Scheer-led Conservative Party of Canada. This is a slight increase from the previous poll, that had Scheer at 36 percent of the vote. The NDP trail behind by a considerable margin, at 12 percent. 8 percent said they would back the Greens.
The poll had a general increase in favorability to Scheer, as he jumped ahead of Trudeau on the question of “Who would make a better prime minister?” as Scheer got the backing of 25 percent of respondents, compared to 24 percent by Trudeau.
12 percent of respondents said that the newly announced federal budget was good, with 19 percent saying it was bad. The majority of the votes went to people who said they didn’t really know about the budget, who topped out at 39 percent.
“Leger’s internet-based survey, which cannot be assigned a margin of error because online polls are not considered random samples, was conducted March 19 and 20 using computer-assisted web-interviewing technology and heard from 1,529 Canadians who are eligible to vote and were recruited from the firm’s online panel.”